Capcom predicts that the current generation of consoles will reach 100 million in 2020, adding weight to the argument that major hardware revisions are in the works.
Capcom has released the summary of a Q&A session held after a recent financial results presentation — and it contains an optimistic prediction about the sales of current console hardware over the next five years. According to the company, we’ll see sales hit 100 million in 2020.
To put that into some context, the current console install base across PlayStation 4 and Xbox One is 55 million units, according to a report from Videogamer. Given that both pieces of hardware were released back in 2013, keeping up their sales momentum in order to reach that goal will be no mean feat.
Based on the precedent set by the last generation of consoles, 2020 would be around when the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One are ready to be phased out in favour of their successors. However, both systems would likely need a shot in the arm if they’re intended to remain relevant until that time.
That’s where the prospect of a mid-generation hardware revision would prove to be beneficial. Rumors of a PlayStation 4 follow-up known as the PS4K have been circulating for months, and there’s even speculation that Microsoft might be working on a similarly souped-up version of the Xbox One.
This new hardware would still play all the same games as its stock predecessors, but would offer enhanced graphics options and better performance. There’s also some indication that the refreshed systems could support advanced peripherals like Sony’s PlayStation VR headset.
It took Sony and Microsoft almost three years to sell 55 million consoles, so to expect another 45 million to fly off shelves in the next four years is perhaps a little bullish on Capcom’s part. However, if the PS4K and an Xbox One revision are released, we’ll certainly see many current owners upgrade — and that makes 100 million a much less intimidating target.
The fact that Capcom is so confident in the current generation of console hardware certainly does suggest that the company knows more than has been publicly stated. However, the studio could simply be looking to talk up the strength of the market as it prepares three major releases for the next twelve months.
That being said, rumors about new hardware aren’t going away — and there’s no smoke without fire. When E3 hits Los Angeles next month, it’s looking more and more likely that we’ll see some kind of new hardware announcement.