Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter is mostly known for stirring the pot with his bold predictions and proclamations, but when he’s not busy dooming the Wii U or outing a Grand Theft Auto 5 release date, his company is analyzing and compiling raw data. And since we have no official numbers from Activision yet – a fact that is surprising considering their proclivity for boasting – Wedbush has delivered some expected sales numbers for Call of Duty: Black Ops 2 for the month of November.
Although the highly anticipated follow-up to Treyarch‘s most successful Call of Duty entry released on November 13th, it reportedly moved some 8.5 million units during its first few weeks of release. This number is, however, slightly below the opening month tally for Modern Warfare 3, Infinity Ward’s 2011 COD effort.
Cowen & Company’s Doug Creutz, on the other hand, expects sales for Black Ops 2 to come in at around 7.9 million units sold, an 11 percent drop from MW3. Either way, both analysts are suggesting Black Ops 2 sales are lower, by comparison, to Modern Warfare 3.
Unlike Pachter, however, Creutz does mention that Modern Warfare 3, which released on November 8th of last year, had an extra week during which to generate sales — making the comparison a little uneven.
In addition to Black Ops 2, Creutz projects that Halo 4 sales will be 2.9 million units over the month of November, and Assassin’s Creed 3 will have moved about 2.6 million. Both games received proper releases in October, but November – Black Friday, especially – is when nearly all Fall releases receive a significant bump in sales.
Beyond game sales, Wedbush and fellow analyst firm EEDAR also weighed in on console sales numbers, delivering similar projections to what has already been reported for the Wii U (450,000), PS3 (700,000), and Xbox 360 (1.4 million). More interesting than that, though, Pachter predicts a Wii U software attach rate of about 3 gamers per console, which should make NoA President Reggie Fils-Aime very happy. As we reported early last week, Fils-Aime revealed that all it takes is one game sale for a Wii U to become profitable.
Did you pick up a copy of Black Ops 2 or a Wii U during November? Were you expecting higher sales numbers for Activision’s flagship franchise?